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COVID-19: Quebec public health officials are projecting 1,263 to 8,860 deaths by the end of April

BY , Apr 7, 2020 9:38 PM - REPORT AN ERROR

A patient is brought into the emergency unit of the Verdun Hospital, Thursday April 2, 2020 in Montreal. The hospital has seen a sharp spike in the number of COVID-19 cases among patients and staff.THE CANADIAN PRESS/Ryan Remiorz

Quebec public health officials are projecting that COVID-19 will cause 1,263 deaths in the province by the end of April under the most optimistic scenario and 8,860 deaths under the most pessimistic.

They say the reality will likely fall in between the two, and much closer to the optimistic forecast than the pessimistic one.

The modelling projects the pandemic will peak in Quebec on around April 18.

The optimistic scenario is based on the experience of Portugal in combating the novel coronavirus while the pessimistic one is based on Italy.

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